Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.032558 0.035688 0.038864 0.042322 0.045973 0.049709 0.053812
2025-08-31 0.028520 0.033198 0.038121 0.043665 0.049707 0.056069 0.063250
2025-09-07 0.025230 0.031009 0.037292 0.044573 0.052720 0.061500 0.071624
2025-09-14 0.022446 0.029017 0.036378 0.045129 0.055143 0.066148 0.079062
2025-09-21 0.019965 0.027090 0.035298 0.045284 0.056945 0.069982 0.085509
2025-09-28 0.018523 0.026219 0.035300 0.046567 0.059943 0.075104 0.093377
2025-10-05 0.016344 0.024248 0.033823 0.045954 0.060608 0.077454 0.098005
2025-10-12 0.014788 0.022917 0.033003 0.046023 0.061988 0.080568 0.103469
2025-10-19 0.013669 0.022048 0.032674 0.046618 0.063945 0.084322 0.109657
2025-10-26 0.012843 0.021495 0.032686 0.047591 0.066327 0.088562 0.116417
2025-11-02 0.011030 0.019452 0.030652 0.045871 0.065303 0.088645 0.118175
2025-11-09 0.009911 0.018293 0.029705 0.045475 0.065869 0.090608 0.122154
2025-11-16 0.008837 0.017136 0.028723 0.045020 0.066373 0.092533 0.126156
2025-11-23 0.008455 0.016984 0.029107 0.046365 0.069182 0.097323 0.133686
2025-11-30 0.007969 0.016633 0.029186 0.047285 0.071439 0.101437 0.140411
2025-12-07 0.007417 0.016134 0.029020 0.047851 0.073223 0.104958 0.146418
2025-12-14 0.006797 0.015471 0.028579 0.048007 0.074449 0.107768 0.151547
2025-12-21 0.006545 0.015398 0.028989 0.049336 0.077227 0.112552 0.159149
2025-12-28 0.005810 0.014437 0.028025 0.048699 0.077357 0.113944 0.162506
2026-01-04 0.005311 0.013843 0.027582 0.048769 0.078413 0.116511 0.167332
2026-01-11 0.004978 0.013519 0.027532 0.049387 0.080201 0.120015 0.173345
2026-01-18 0.004754 0.013379 0.027757 0.050397 0.082522 0.124218 0.180256
2026-01-25 0.003980 0.012102 0.026110 0.048611 0.080962 0.123337 0.180680